Insight

How To Tell If Your Wedge Is Weakening

A wedge is what makes you the obvious choice when someone's deciding between you and everyone else in your category. Here's how to spot when yours is eroding.
How To Tell If Your Wedge Is Weakening - article cover image
Kim Elizabeth James, Co-Founder of Wedge, professional headshot
Written by
Kim Elizabeth James
Australian brands Rivers, Noni B, Katies, Millers, Menulog, and Michel's Patisserie were once dominant market players that collapsed in 2025. These weren't startup failures but heritage retailers that lost market dominance gradually. What happened? Their wedge weakened.

The Key Problem

Organizations conflate market advantages with genuine differentiation. Being established, large, or first-to-market provides temporary edge but lacks permanence. These conditions naturally erode over time as competitors enter and markets evolve.

The Five Warning Signs

1. Generic Marketing Messages

When brand positioning becomes interchangeable with competitors, the unique value proposition disappears. Mosaic Brands' portfolio illustrates this—six retail chains became indistinguishable from one another.

2. Competitive Imitation

Being first gives you a head start. It doesn't give you a permanent position. Menulog exemplified this vulnerability, shutting down after losing first-mover advantage to DoorDash and Uber Eats.

3. Price-Based Competition

Strong differentiation commands premium positioning. When brands resort to discounting, it signals weakened market perception. Myer and David Jones demonstrate constant markdowns replacing authentic brand pull.

4. Digital Channel Misalignment

Legacy organizations treated digital as supplementary while customers migrated there completely. Modern nimble competitors recognize social platforms as primary go-to-market channels rather than awareness tools.

5. Declining Customer Acquisition

Harder sales cycles indicate lost clarity about competitive distinction. Rivers' 45-year tenure couldn't overcome market perception that smaller, trendier alternatives offered superior value.

Two Weakening Categories

Communication Breakdown

The wedge exists; messaging simply fails to articulate it. Solution: audit all customer-facing content and eliminate generic language.

Market Erosion

Actual differentiation has disappeared as competitors caught up. Solution: conduct competitive analysis, interview best customers, develop new positioning.

Strategic Recommendations

  • Eliminate features/benefits language competitors could replicate
  • Audit where customers actually research and purchase
  • Honestly assess whether current positioning remains relevant
  • Identify emerging market gaps before smaller competitors exploit them

The Bottom Line

Organizational size, history, or establishment doesn't constitute defensible positioning. A genuine wedge makes the brand the obvious choice within its category. Without clear articulation or continued relevance, even dominant players face obsolescence.

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